BUDGET 2015 – The Big Picture on Public Spending

When is a “Long Term Economic Plan” not a “Long Term Economic Plan” – when there’s an election coming.

Last November Chancellor Osborne announced spending cuts throughout the next Parliament that would have reduced spending to 35.2% of GDP – which as the OBR pointed out would be the lowest since the 1930s.

In Budget 2015 the total spending plan for 2019-20 has suddenly jumped – to 36% of GDP (a whole 0.8%).

This has been achieved by a sudden £17.4bn jump in spending in 2019-20 (see below), but a significant drop in spending earlier in the Parliament compared to the Autumn ‘Long Term Plan’.

This extra £17.4bn in 2019-20 looks very much like a deliberate sleight of hand purely to ensure the 35.2% of GDP is tweaked upwards.
Continue reading “BUDGET 2015 – The Big Picture on Public Spending”

The Bust Up after the Budget?

Most of the commentary in the build up to the last Budget of this Parliament will, predictably, focus on the contents of George Osborne’s little red briefcase on 18th March.

Few will focus on what might happen afterwards – the Parliamentary procedure for implementing Budgets. That’s because these are usually pretty uncontroversial – Budget announcements usually get ‘rubber stamped’ through Parliament with little fuss and bother. But maybe not this time….. as I have speculated before. Continue reading “The Bust Up after the Budget?”

In the run-up to GE15, the parties’ public finance policies are opaque…

The most challenging election of modern times lies ahead, but the main parties are not spelling out what their policies mean to voters

Everyone seems to agree that we are heading for one of the least predictable general elections of modern times (although that seems to stop few pundits trying to call it). But are we also heading for one of the least democratic?

Democracy is a lot more than merely voting every four or five years. It involves many things, not least that the parties standing for election give us a reasonably clear idea of what our choices are. On this front, things do not look good.

– See more at: http://opinion.publicfinance.co.uk/2015/01/parties-public-finance-policies-are-opaque/#sthash.s1NZ2foj.dpuf

Fixed Term Parliaments and Spending Reviews

I was asked to submit evidence to the Political and Constitutional Reform Committee for its Inquiry into the effects of the Fixed Term Parliament Act 2011. Here is the paper I submitted which is now published on their website

Continue reading “Fixed Term Parliaments and Spending Reviews”

Politics Matter…But Public Financial Management Reforms Do Too.

This interesting article is re-posted from an IMF Blogsite here

Continue reading “Politics Matter…But Public Financial Management Reforms Do Too.”

Spending Review 2013?

So, it appears fairly certain now that the Coalition Government is going to announce – sometime next year – Spending Review 2013.

But, and this is critical, Danny Alexander (Liberal Democrat Chief Secretary to the Treasury) seems to have said this will only be a 2 year Spending Review covering the years 2014-15 and 15-16 (interview in the Guardian).

——————– to read the full text go to Whitehall Watch

You can also search Whitehall Watch for the phrase “Spending Review” and get lots more ……

Comment on PESA

The nice people at HM Treasury who produce the Public Expenditure Statistical Analyses annual publication have asked for some feedback. They will have access to this site, so if you have any comments, questions or suggestions about PESA simply leave them here and they’ll be checking to see what you have said. Thanks in anticipation…

Report on Spending Review

The Treasury Select Committee has published its report on the Spending Review 2010. Please note especially the  section on the SR process, which is highly relevant to the Assignment for BMAN 30171

Coalition systems that replace PSAs etc.

The systems that the Coalition government is putting in place to replace the implementation-side of the Spending Reviews as they existed under New Labour are becoming clearer. Continue reading “Coalition systems that replace PSAs etc.”

Departmental Business Plans

Please see today’s post over on Whitehall Watch about the new Departmental Business Plans, which are linked to SR2010.

Also, for BMAN students, please see the announcements section.